All posts

2023 Sedans Off Lease: Where the Supply Actually Is

June 18, 20265 min readCarScout
used carsbuying guide2026sedanoff-leaseHonda CivicToyota Camrymarket data

There are 2,499 used 2023 Toyota Camrys listed for sale right now. Their median mileage is 50,536. That's not an off-lease car.

A 3-year lease signed in 2023 ends now. The average leasee drives 12,000 miles per year, which puts a genuine lease return at roughly 35,000 to 38,000 miles. The Camry's median is more than 12,000 miles above that threshold. What you're actually shopping in the 2023 Camry market is a mix of rental turn-ins, fleet cars, and private sellers who bought three years ago and drove a lot.

That distinction matters more than it might seem. Off-lease vehicles are maintained under factory warranty for their entire service life, with scheduled service at dealerships. Fleet and rental cars often aren't. Knowing which category you're shopping changes what you pay, what condition to expect, and what to verify before signing.

CarScout shows 12,699 active 2023 sedan listings across six models as of June 14, 2026. The mileage distribution tells you which ones are actually off-lease.

The Supply Map

Model Listings Median Miles p25 Miles p75 Miles
Toyota Camry 2,499 50,536 25,253 77,350
Honda Accord 2,417 32,751 16,375 49,126
Honda Civic 2,253 32,296 16,148 48,445
Nissan Altima 2,158 41,532 20,766 69,820
Hyundai Elantra 1,756 34,676 17,338 55,592
Toyota Corolla 1,616 47,362 23,681 75,790

The Civic and Accord have nearly identical mileage profiles. Median in the low 30s, bottom quartile in the mid-teens. Those are off-lease cars. The Camry and Corolla are running 15,000 to 18,000 miles higher at the median. The Altima sits in the middle: over 40,000 miles at the median with a wide spread suggesting a mixed pool.

The Genuine Off-Lease Models

Honda Civic (2,253 listings). The 11th-gen Civic has been one of the most leased compact cars since its 2022 redesign, and those leases are maturing now. Median mileage of 32,296 is consistent with a 36-month, 12,000-mile-per-year agreement. The p25 at 16,148 miles is where you find cars that were barely driven. Per KBB, private-party values on a 2023 Civic run roughly $19,000 to $24,600 depending on trim and mileage. Dealers are listing above that range, but supply at 2,253 units means you've got competition leverage.

Honda Accord (2,417 listings). The Accord's median is 32,751 miles, nearly identical to the Civic's. Honda's lease programs on the 2023 redesign were aggressive, and the cars are returning in volume. It markets higher than the Civic, typically in the $24,000 to $28,000 range at dealerships for mid-trim examples. If you want more car at a slightly higher price point, the supply is comparable to the Civic and the mileage profile is just as clean.

Hyundai Elantra (1,756 listings). The fewest listings of the three true off-lease candidates, with a median of 34,676 miles. CARFAX pegs the average 2023 Elantra at $19,764, making it the entry price point in this group. The spread is wider than the Honda models: the p75 mileage hits 55,592, so filtering by mileage matters more here. Set a ceiling of 40,000 miles and the Elantra pool tightens to genuine off-lease examples. Fewer of them, but the price is lower and they're out there.

High-Mileage Supply: Camry, Corolla, Altima

Toyota Camry (2,499 listings). The most supply in the group, but the mileage profile doesn't support the off-lease narrative. Median at 50,536 miles and p75 at 77,350 confirm this is primarily a fleet, rental, and high-mileage private-seller market. That doesn't make a 2023 Camry a bad buy. The 8th-gen Camry is proven past 150,000 miles. But you're pricing and inspecting it differently than a lease return. True off-lease examples are in this pool, they're just a minority: about a quarter of listed Camrys have under 25,000 miles. Expect to pay a premium for those.

Toyota Corolla (1,616 listings). The least supply of the six and the second-highest mileage profile. Median of 47,362 miles, p75 at 75,790. The Corolla has lower lease penetration than the Civic historically, which is why fewer genuine off-lease examples exist in this class. You'll find budget options starting around $12,094, but those prices come with proportional mileage. If you want a 2023 Corolla, filter under 35,000 miles and expect that pool to be thin.

Nissan Altima (2,158 listings). Nissan's fleet and rental exposure is visible in the numbers. Median of 41,532 miles, p75 at 69,820. The Altima has historically high fleet/rental penetration, which is why the price floor sits at $9,820 while the mileage ceiling is so high. There are deals in this pool, but the variance in condition is higher than in the Honda or Hyundai market. A full vehicle history report is non-negotiable before buying an Altima.

How to Shop This

The broad off-lease wave is real: Edmunds projects off-lease volume rising 25.7% in H2 2026, adding roughly 500,000 units to the used market compared to last year. For sedans, that supply is landing in the Civic and Accord first. The Camry and Corolla are volume leaders, but volume there is driven by fleet disposal, not lease returns.

Two different buying modes follow from that. For a Civic or Accord, you're shopping a lease-return market with real negotiating leverage and predictable condition. For a Camry or Corolla, you're shopping a value-hunting market where inspection and history verification do more work than negotiating on price.

Set up a scout on CarScout for 2023 Civics or Accords filtered under 40,000 miles. The listing count is growing as leases mature through the fall. More supply means more shots at the right car at the right price.

FAQ

Which 2023 sedan has the most genuine off-lease supply? The Honda Accord leads with 2,417 listings at a median of 32,751 miles, followed closely by the Civic at 2,253 listings and 32,296 miles. Both profiles match 3-year, 12,000-mile-per-year leases that are maturing now. The Camry has more total listings (2,499) but a median of 50,536 miles indicates the majority are not lease returns.

Are 2023 Camrys worth buying used even if they're not off-lease? Yes. The 8th-gen Camry is reliable past 150,000 miles. You're buying a different vehicle than a lease return: more miles, more mileage variance, more due diligence required. Pull a full vehicle history, prioritize one-owner cars, and don't pay off-lease prices for fleet-mileage examples.

Will 2023 sedan prices drop later in 2026? Probably not much. The off-lease supply wave is pushing inventory up, but demand is holding. Per Edmunds, 58% of in-market used car shoppers say tariff-driven new car price hikes are pushing them toward used vehicles. More buyers competing for more supply keeps prices relatively stable. The opportunity is finding a clean example with favorable mileage, not waiting on a broad price drop that isn't coming.

Stop searching. Start scouting.

CarScout monitors thousands of dealerships so you don't have to. Set up your first scout and get daily alerts when matching vehicles appear. Plans from $5/week. Cancel anytime.

Start Scouting